Ron Johnson has turned up the volume on the issue of race in his closing message to base voters, whose support will be crucial in his tight contest against Mandela Barnes, who would be the state's . Johnson leads with men and older voters.. Sign up now! The 2022 Wisconsin gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Wisconsin.Incumbent Democratic governor Tony Evers won re-election to a 2nd term, defeating Republican nominee, Tim Michels.. As Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes ran for the U.S. Senate in the concurrent election, a new Democratic running mate, state assemblywoman Sara Rodriguez, was nominated in . The. Lee said Johnson and Republican political action committees quickly launched attack ads aimed at Barnes painting him as a radical liberal that's out of touch with average Wisconsinites. Recent polling shows Lt. Gov. Barnes focused much of his closing message hammering Johnson over his opposition to abortion rights an issue Democrats across the country had hoped would energize their base in the midterms following the Supreme Courts reversal of Roe v. Wade in June. For questions or comments, contact WPRs Audience Services at 1-800-747-7444, email listener@wpr.org or use our Listener Feedback form. Sign up for notifications from Insider! U.S. Senate candidates Mandela Barnes and Ron Johnson sparred over a wide range of issues - everything from decriminalizing marijuana and immigration to the minimum wage, abortion and crime - during their first debate leading up to the 2022 fall midterm election.. as well as other partner offers and accept our. Republican U.S. Senate candidate Ron Johnson, right, and Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Mandela Barnes participate during a televised debate Thursday, Oct. 13, 2022, in Milwaukee. Mandela Barnes speaks to supporters during his campaign for U.S. Senate on Saturday, Oct. 8, 2022, in Middleton, Wis. Angela Major/WPR. This week . He said the August polling results from multiple sources show him "this is a very competitive race and Democrats have a compelling opportunity to unseat Ron Johnson.". Mandela Barnes on Tuesday. The senator has been tied to the fake elector scheme, which is being investigated by the U.S. Department of Justice, after text messages came to light showing Johnson's office tried to get slates of fake electoral ballots from Wisconsin and Michigan to former Vice President Mike Pence on Jan. 6, 2021. In September, Evers led among independents 45% to 39%. Notably, the margin of error was 4.5 percentage points. Stay informed with WPR's email newsletter. Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by Refinitiv Lipper. Adam Edelman is a political reporter for NBC News. Johnson has compared the rioters to tourists and during a presentation to Milwaukee Rotary Club in early October, Johnson said calling the attack an armed insurrection is inaccurate. Those results weren't far off from a Marquette University Law School poll on Aug. 17, showing Barnes beating Johnson 51 percent to 44 percent among likely midterm voters. Both politicians were backed by 43 percent of likely voters. Ron Johnson Dramatically Underperforms in First Finance Report Since Announcing for Reelection - Lt. Gov. ", Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., speaks to supporters after arriving at an election night party in Neenah, Wis., Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. The new survey found Johnson up just 1 percentage point among likely Wisconsin voters, with 50 percent saying theyd learn toward the Republican if the election were held today and 49 percent saying the same of Barnes. Legal Statement. Barnes' campaign, and other Democratic strategists, viewed the poll as an outlier. Mandela Barnes, is the choice of 48%. Independent candidate Joan Beglinger who ended her campaign in September but will still be on the ballot garnered 4% in the poll, while 1% of respondents said they were undecided. "We feel very confident that there's no way that they can really make up that gap. Democratic candidate Mandela Barnes, the state's. National media reports say the red wave that Republicans hoped for in this years midterm elections has been downgraded to more of a trickle. ", Barnes did not take the stage on election night. Johnson also holds a 2-point lead over Barnes in favorability ratings among likely voters, with 46 percent saying they have a favorable opinion of the Republican and 44 percent saying the same. Copyright 2023 CBS Interactive Inc. All rights reserved. In the new poll, registered Wisconsin voters said the issue they were most concerned about was inflation, followed by public schools, gun violence, abortion policy and crime. With 98 percent of votes counted, AP results showed Johnson defeating Barnes 50.5 percent to 49.5 percent. Marquette polled 801 registered voters via phone interviews from Oct. 3-9 (652 of those are considered likely voters), with more than half of the interviews coming before last Friday's debate. Ron Johnson and Mandela Barnes in tight Senate race in Wisconsin CBS News Battleground Tracker poll. Mandela Barnes on Tuesday. The Associated Press called the race for Johnson at 11:46 a.m. Wednesday as the senator led Barnes by 27,374 votes. Johnson won his first Senate race in 2010, unseating Democratic Sen. Russ Feingold. U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson is increasing his lead over Lt. Gov. For weeks, Wisconsin Republican Senator Ron Johnson and his allies have been running a set of attack ads against Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes about crime.One ad focuses on violent crime . Caitlin Yilek is a politics reporter for CBS News Digital. Outagamie County Executive Tom Nelson suspended his Senate campaign on Monday, followed by Milwaukee Bucks executive Alex Lasry on Wednesday. InWisconsin's Senate race between Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic Lt. Gov. 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Johnson got a boost from voters'. Barnes to overcome his 27,374 vote deficit. MIDTERM STUDY FINDS MAINSTREAM MEDIA GAVE REPUBLICANS 87% MORE NEGATIVE COVERAGE THAN DEMOCRATS. "That's how close we should assume the race will be, regardless of the specificity of those numbers. Wisconsin Governor Tony Evers is a Democrat who won the office in 2018. In early October, Barnes launched a "Ron Against Roe" tour of Wisconsin to highlight Johnson's longtime support for national abortion bans. Barnes sought to portray himself as a stronger advocate of the state's working-class citizens. Republican gubernatorial nominee Tim Michels led Democratic Gov. But Johnson got a majority of support from voters who thought COVID-19 restrictions in the state were too strict. Mandela Barnes. Wisconsin Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Lt. Gov. In 2020, now-President Joe Biden won Wisconsin by roughly 20,000 votes out of nearly 3.3 million ballots cast. A Fox News poll released Aug. 18 had Barnes with 50 percent of the support of likely voters and Johnson trailing with 46 percent. He said clerks have been legally free to interpret the term in good faith, drawing on non-binding guidance from the Wisconsin Elections Commission, its predecessors and advice from attorneys. According to OpenSecrets, Johnson raised $31.5 million, spent $28 million, and had $3.5 million in cash on hand, as of October 19. (Photo by Three Lions/Hulton Archive/Getty Images) OAN Deven BerryhillUPDATED 6:45 PM PT - Monday, February 27, 2023 A well-known British newspaper recently . US Congress; Getty; Marianne Ayala/Insider, Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. Johnson struck a somber note when reflecting on the closeness of his race. GOP Sen. Ron Johnson has won re-election to a third term in Wisconsin, NBC News projects, narrowly defeating Democrat Mandela Barnes. Barnes' campaign and allied outside Democratic groups launched a series of attacks against Johnson painting him as an out-of-touch millionaire who worked to secure tax cuts for himself and billionaire donors in 2017. Currently, Wisconsin voters cannot change laws by direct referendum. Besides Mandela and Ron, Gov Tony Evers, a nominee from the Democratic Party, and . Lt. The bill passed 80-15 with many Democrats and all but one Republican voting "yes." Mandela Barnes joined radical Democrats like David Bowen and Jonathan Brostoff in refusing to protect cops, public defenders, and prosecutors, and their family members. With 98.91% of the vote in, Johnson had 50.5% . (Last month, the Republican-controlled state Legislatureblocked initial effortsto get that question on the ballot.). Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by Refinitiv Lipper. Barnes' lead disappeared after Johnson's campaign and Republican groups went on the attack with negative ads. ", Lee said the value of political polling in Wisconsin has become less predictable as the state has become more "deep purple.". Barnes made an early bet to run as a progressive and largely did not move to the center. Get browser notifications for breaking news, live events, and exclusive reporting. Wisconsins gubernatorial race, meanwhile, has tightened: 47 percent of likely voters support incumbent Democratic Gov. The Wisconsin Senate race is a virtual toss-up, with Republican Sen. Ron Johnson edging Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes within the margin of error in a Marquette University Law School poll. In the race for U.S. Senate, Democrat Mandela Barnes is supported by 51% and incumbent Republican Sen. Ron Johnson is the choice of 44%, while 1% say "neither," 3% say they don't know and 1% decline to answer. The latest Marquette Law School poll also found the race for governor has tightened in the pivotal battleground state. Most young men are single. Ninety-three percent of Democrats support Barnes and 96 percent of Republicans support Johnson, while 96 percent of Democrats support Evers and 88 percent of Republicans support Michels. For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser. Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes side by side. He pulled ahead of Barnes in recent polling after a September onslaught of negative ads that painted Barnes as a soft-on-crime, radical liberal. When results started trickling in around 8:30 p.m. Tuesday, Barnes took an early lead over Johnson, but the Republican slowly closed the gap as more of the state's precincts reported. Mandela Barnes during a debate on Oct. 7. The schools previous poll, from September, showed a much tighter race, with Johnson leading Barnes 49% to 48%. "I do believe that this time truth has prevailed over the lies, over the character assassination," Johnson said. Analyzing the Wisconsin Senate and governor's races, the poll found both races deadlocked: Mr Barnes trails incumbent Sen Ron Johnson by. "Of course, we've said that before," Chergosky said. Democrat Mandela Barnes and Republican Sen. Ron Johnson sparred over their respective ties to the middle class and their views on crime in the second and possibly final Wisconsin Senate debate. Johnson maintained a conservative voting record during his two terms in the Senate. Leaders expect it to keep growing. At right, Barnes offers his state's votes to nominate Joe Biden for president at the 2020 Democratic Convention. The Democrat became the state's first Black lieutenant governor when he took office in 2019. 2023 FOX News Network, LLC. THE HILL 1625 K STREET, NW SUITE 900 WASHINGTON DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 TEL | 202-628-8503 FAX. Incumbent Republican Sen. Ron Johnson is widening the gap over his Democratic challenger, Mandela Barnes, in Wisconsin's Senate race, a new poll from Marquette Law School found. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. Mandela Barnes, a Democrat trailing in Wisconsin polls and getting hammered by an onslaught of negative television advertising in his race to unseat Senator Ron Johnson, a. NBC News projects Sen. Ron Johnson of Wisconsin wins re-election, unrelenting attacks against Barnes on crime. If Barnes were to win, he'd become Wisconsin's first Black senator. The race between Johnson and Barnes was rated as "tilt Republican" by Inside Elections, a "toss-up" by The Cook Political Report, and "leans Republican" by Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., left, and his Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes shake hands before a televised debate, Friday, Oct. 7, 2022, in Milwaukee. In order to do so, the Republican-controlled state Legislature would need to pass a constitutional amendment. Morry Gash/Associated Press Photograph: Morry Gash/AP Ron Johnson's campaign of 'race and fear' is affecting Senate race that. Notably, Barnes, 35, would become the first Black senator ever elected from Wisconsin if he manages to defeat Johnson, 67. RealClearPolitics - Election 2022 - Wisconsin Senate - Johnson vs. Barnes "The votes are in," Johnson said in an email. Barnes, the current lieutenant governor of Wisconsin, leads Johnson 51% to 44%, up from a narrow two-point lead he held in June, when polls showed Barnes had the support of 46% voters in. Barnes sought. The margins of error for registered voters and likely voters are +/- 4.3% and +/-4.8% respectively. Throughout the 2022 campaign cycle, Marquette polling showed a majority of respondents in Wisconsin had a negative view of Johnson. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. Evers and Michels will face off on Friday for their only televised debate. And, that's a little depressing, isn't it? Tony Evers 50% to 47%, the AARP Wisconsin . I will do everything I can to help make things better for Wisconsinites and to heal and unify our country," he continued. Prior to several outlets projecting him as the winner, Johnson, who will now serve his third six-year term, said in a written statement that the corporate media refused to call a race that is over. "But what I will say, unfortunately, it's still so close. Among those citing integrity as most important, Barnes won 54% of the vote, while among those saying a candidate who shares values with them is most important, 60% voted for Johnson. Home; News. The man leading the charge to unseat Johnson this year is the polar opposite of the millionaire Boomer conservative: Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes, a 35-year-old Black former community organizer. 'The most vulnerable Republican incumbent' The Barnes strategy is to define Johnson as a changed man, someone who went to Washington as an insurgent candidate but then enmeshed himself into the. Senator Ron Johnson 's support appears to be slipping with Wisconsin voters entering the closing months of the state's midterm elections, a new poll says. Marquette's August survey had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.2 percent. 2023 by Wisconsin Public Radio, a service of the Wisconsin Educational Communications Board and the University of Wisconsin-Madison. Get the latest updates from the 2024 campaign trail, exclusive interviews and more Fox News politics content. Johnson has outperformed polls before, but political experts note added challenges this election cycle. The new poll shows the two candidates are tied at 47%, with 4% saying they wouldn't vote for either candidate and 2% saying they didnt know yet, suggesting turnout will be key. Barnes, 35, has seen his chances of unseating Sen. Johnson shrink by the day as crime becomes the central focus of their Senate race The small margins indicate a tight race with the midterms just two weeks away. ", "And if anybody wants predictions, my advice would be just flip a coin and you've got a 50/50 chance of being right," Lee said. On Sunday, the Trafalgar Group released the results of a survey of Wisconsin voters conducted between Aug. 22 and Aug. 25. Recent polling shows Lt. Gov. One percent of respondents said they would vote for neither candidate and 1% said they were undecided. . It's official: Mandela Barnes has the best chance of anyone in this Senate primary to defeat Ron Johnson. Johnson was one of Trump's most ardent legislative supporters of the 2017 tax reform bill, which overhauled the tax code and repealed the Affordable Care Act's individual mandate. This year, Johnson is the only incumbent Republican senator running for reelection in a state President Biden won in 2020. The 2016 Marquette poll showed a full 30 percent of respondents didn't know enough about Johnson to form a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him. Johnson has downplayed the violent insurrection at the U.S. Capitol that day on Jan. 6, where Trump supporters assaulted Capitol police officers as they tried to stop Congress from certifying President Joe Biden's 2020 victory. The CBS News/YouGov poll was released on Sunday. Republicans have hammered Barnes and other Democratic candidates on crime in recent weeks, while Democrats see abortion rights as an issue that will energize their base in November. Fox News's Bradford Betz contributed to this report. For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser. Despite it being the number one issue for voters in several recent polls, however, the candidates were not asked a direct . Republican Sen. Ron Johnson, who was first elected during the conservative Tea Party wave in 2010, defeated Democratic Lt. Gov. Updated on: November 9, 2022 / 11:38 AM Stay informed with WPR's email newsletter. Mandela Barnes faced off Thursday in their second debate, clashing over crime and abortion in a series of heated exchanges.. With less than 100 days to go before the . Wisconsin's lieutenant governor, Mandela Barnes, 35, is trying to unseat Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson, 67, who was first elected in 2010. In response, Johnson said he would like to see Wisconsin's 1849 abortion ban changed to allow exemptions for instances of rape and incest. However, the most recent polling for the race suggests that Barnes is narrowly ahead of the incumbent. Just more than 3 percent of those surveyed were undecided. Washington Patty Murray (D) vs. Tiffany Smiley (R) 35. Among all registered voters surveyed, it's a much closer race. After midnight, the gap between Barnes and Johnson closed slightly and the audience in Neenah became less energetic. making false or misleading claims about the shots, Johnson has hired one of Wisconsin's 10 fake electors, most expensive election contests in the country, settle the abortion issue via a direct referendum, Bernie Sanders endorses Mandela Barnes for US Senate, Ron Johnson calls for annual approval of Social Security, Medicare funding, Democratic Lt. Gov. The June poll by Marquette Law School showed that Biden's approval rating is deep underwater with Wisconsin voters, which could bode poorly for Democrats in November. Lasry, Mandela's next leading opponent in the Democratic senate primary, does not beat Johnson in a head to head. Legal Statement. Mandela Barnes concedes US Senate race to Republican incumbent Ron Johnson, Evers has a slight lead over Michels in Wisconsin governor's race, per Marquette Law School poll, Ron Johnson calls for annual approval of Social Security, Medicare funding, Mandela Barnes to Milwaukee Rotary: Ron Johnson is a 'threat to the stability of this country', La Crosse Sheriff's captain denies endorsing Mandela Barnes in US Senate race, Madison Common Council eases limits on unrelated people renting homes together, From grocery store shelves to restaurant menus, food prices 10 percent higher than a year ago, Report: Inflation Reduction Act could bring over 24K jobs to Wisconsin over next decade, Evers proposes $750M for broadband expansion amid massive federal investment in high-speed internet, Evers proposes $3.8B in state building projects, Landowners sue Lac du Flambeau tribal leaders to reopen roads blocked for a month, Supreme Court candidate Janet Protasiewicz says she'd recuse herself in cases involving state Democratic Party, State lawmakers try again to allow DACA recipients to become police officers in Wisconsin, Dairy groups call new federal guidance for labeling plant-based milk alternatives a 'double-edged sword', Wisconsin Educational Communications Board. The race was one of the most expensive election contests in the country, according to a firm that tracks political spending. A pedestrian walks by a sign in front of a polling location on Tuesday, April 5, 2022, in Milwaukee, Wis. Angela Major/WPR. Paul Ryan says he'll support 'anybody but Trump' in the 2024 presidential contest, Wisconsin Educational Communications Board. Barnes, who in 2018 was elected as lieutenant governor on a ticket with Democratic Gov. Incumbent Sen. RonJohnson(R-Wis.) and Democratic challenger MandelaBarnes are neck and neck in Wisconsins Senate race, according to a new CNN poll. Barnes appeared with Lasry and Godlewski as they made their announcements, praising their campaigns. Barnes led Johnson 49.4 percent to 47.1 percent. They pointed to a CBS News poll from over the weekend showing Johnson ahead . Nearly all of the likely voters, or 94 percent, said their minds were made up about their chosen candidate, leaving 6 percent who might change their mind before the November election. Tony Evers, sought to portray Johnson as a champion of monied interests and pledged to work with lawmakers to enact policies that would benefit working-class families, including an expansion of the child tax credit. Approximately 50% of likely voters said they support Johnson in the race, compared to 48% for Barnes, according to the Marquette poll of 679 likely voters. Only 1 percent of likely voters are still undecided in the gubernatorial race, according to the poll, which surveyed 652 likely voters in Wisconsin from Oct. 3 to Oct. 9 and has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4.8 percentage points. Wisconsin GOP Sen. Ron Johnson defeated Democratic Lt. Gov. Lt. Gov. Only 16 percent had an unfavorable view of the Democratic lieutenant governor, compared with 46 percent who said the same of the GOP senator. Tony Evers leads GOP challenger Tim Michels among likely voters 47% to 46%. Wisconsin Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes will become the Democratic Party's nominee to face off against GOP Senator Ron Johnson in November after his top opponents dropped out and endorsed his campaign this weekwith polls suggesting the liberal candidate has a slim advantage. Johnson maintained a conservative voting record during his two terms in the Senate. The Democrat's lead was just outside the survey's 3 percent margin of error. There is no path mathematically for Lt. Gov. 2016: Johnson (R) +3.4|2010: Johnson (R) +4.9, Senate Map,Polls,Projection|House Map,Polls,GenericVote|Governor Map,Polls,Projection|2022,'24 Polls, Senate Map,Polls,Projection|House Map,Polls,Generic Ballot|Governor Map,Polls,Projection|2022,'24 Polls, RCP Average:Johnson +3.6RCP Ranking:Toss UpRCP Projection:GOP HoldKey 2022 Races:Governor|Senate|WI-3, 2020:President|WI-32018:Governor|Senate|WI-1|WI-32016:President|Senate|WI-82014:Governor|WI-6|WI-72012:President|Governor (Recall)|Senate|WI-7|WI-82010:Governor|Senate|WI-3|WI-7|WI-8, All Wisconsin Senate - Johnson vs. Barnes Polling Data. The registered voter sample has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.6 percentage points. The two candidates are scheduled to hold their second and final televised debate on Thursday. Wisconsin has been viewed as a swing state in recent elections but has generally gone for Democratic presidential candidates in elections going back to 1988. In Marquette's September poll, Evers led Michels among likely voters 47% to 44%. Why is there a long line of railcars parked on the tracks near Spooner? Wisconsin's GOP senator, Ron Johnson, will face off against state Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes in November. President Joe Biden then won Wisconsin in 2020 by the same margin, although he received a slightly higher overall percentage of the votes. their first televised debate, held on Friday, discussing, have hammered Barnes and other Democratic candidates, What we learned from the NBC News Fetterman interview, Midterm elections roundup: Arizona debate debacle, California poll: Homelessness is most urgent issue in the state. The Wisconsin Senate candidate Mandela Barnes speaks at a rally on Saturday in Milwaukee. The Marquette Law School survey has Johnson racking up support of 52 percent of likely voters compared with Barnes 46 percent. Reach her at caitlin.yilek@cbsinteractive.com. AP Photo/Mike Roemer. Liberal groups in Wisconsin seeking to change rules governing absentee ballots suffered a blow this week after an appeals court and a circuit judge ruled that ballots cannot contain partial addresses of witnesses. Top Sheboygan officials lacked key details on police department sexual harassment probes, State lawmakers try again to allow DACA recipients to become police officers in Wisconsin, Tired of waiting, a Wisconsin island community is directing millions to create its own high-speed internet. Top editors give you the stories you want delivered right to your inbox each weekday. Among likely voters, in his race for reelection, Sen. Ron Johnson, a Republican, is supported by 49%, while his Democratic opponent, Lt. Gov. The poll from Marquette Law School suggests Johnson, a two-term incumbent, is leading Barnes, the states lieutenant governor, among likely voters by 6 percentage points 52% to 46%. But despite the ex-senator leading in most public polling that year, he went on to narrowly lose to Johnson once again. "Now, that's what Democrats have been doing to Ron Johnson for nearly two years," said Lee. Sign up now! Ron Johnson's Road to Reelection Is Getting Bumpy. More from Yorkshire Post. Mandela Barnes is maintaining a slight edge over Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson just more than two months from the November election. I want to thank my family and everyone who supported me and worked so hard to save this U.S. Senate seat. You can follow him on Twitter @timothynerozzi and can email him at timothy.nerozzi@fox.com. We will wait and see what the Wisconsin voters have decided after all their voices are heard," the statement said. S en. Barnes has a 51%-44% lead over Johnson in the Wisconsin Senate race, per a new Marquette Law poll. New York City Mayor Dismisses Separation Of Church And State,Despite his vow to uphold the U.S. Constitution, Eric Adams said he "can't separate" his Christian beliefs from his public duties. At the beginning of the election cycle, Johnson was seen as one of the most vulnerable Republican incumbents in the U.S. Senate. A previous April survey by Marquette Law School showed that half of Wisconsin's voters did not believe Johnson actually cared about them. It occurred concurrently with a Senate election in the state, elections to the state's U.S. House seats, and various other elections.Incumbent Republican Governor Scott Walker sought re-election to a third term, and was challenged by Democratic candidate and then-Superintendent of Public Instruction Tony Evers, as well . At Johnson's election night watch party in Neenah, the crowd was in high spirits throughout the evening giving loud cheers as they watched Fox News election coverage of the race. 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